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Supplementary Statement to the 2002-2003 Budget
Federal transfers: a $1.8-billion sword of Damocles hanging over Québec finances

Québec, March 19, 2002 - In tabling her Supplementary Statement to the 2002-2003 Budget, Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of State for the Economy and Finance Pauline Marois took the opportunity to review recent developments regarding federal transfers to the provinces. "On account of the change made by the federal government to the method for calculating equalization payments and the major error made by Canada Customs and Revenue Agency (CCRA) in collecting income tax from certain provinces, Québec could lose more than $1.8 billion. This is a veritable sword of Damocles hanging over Québec's finances, which could jeopardize the maintenance of a balanced budget," Ms. Marois said.

A cut of $840 million could still be made beginning in 2003-2004

If the federal government remains determined to change the method for calculating the property tax base for equalization purposes, Québec will lose $840 million. "This announcement raised such an outcry that the federal government decided to defer the application of the cut until 2003-2004 and proposed that it be averaged over time. However, the result is still the same. This cut will be no more acceptable two years from now than it is today, " the Minister stated.

"For over 15 years now, Québec has maintained that the only appropriate way to measure the fiscal capacity of the provinces with regard to property taxes is to use property values as measured by municipal property assessment rolls. The federal government currently uses a complex mathematical formula, with no relation to real property values, in an effort to estimate fiscal capacity for the purposes of the property tax base. It is simply common sense that the solution proposed by Québec be adopted as soon as possible," Ms. Marois added.

A federal error that could be costly for Québec

In addition, Québec's equalization revenue could be revised downward substantially because of a major error committed by CCRA in collecting income tax from the other provinces. Last January 29, the federal government announced that, since 1972, it had made a significant error in calculating the capital gains tax of trusts that hold mutual funds. For the period from 1993 to 1999 alone, overpayments to certain provinces could reach $3.3 billion. The impact for the period from 1972 to 1992 is still not known. Owing to these overpayments to the provinces, equalization payments to all provinces that benefit from the program have been overestimated. Should the federal government decide to recover these amounts, Québec would have to repay $825 million for equalization for the 1993-2000 period. The amount could even reach $1 billion once the data for 1972 to 1992 are known.

According to Ms. Marois, the solution that would be fairest and in the public's best interest would be for the federal government to:

  • take full responsibility for its mistake;
  • complete the assessment of CCRA's error for the 1972-1992 period to obtain an overall picture of the scope of the error and its impact on the provinces;
  • not recover the overpayments to the provinces with regard to personal income tax and equalization for the entire period;
  • implement a compensation mechanism to afford fair treatment for all the provinces negatively affected by the federal government's mistake.

This would involve granting all the provinces a per capita amount equal to that received by Ontario because of the federal error. This solution would mean paying $4.4 billion to the provinces as a whole, $1.6 billion of which would go to Québec.

Ms. Marois stressed that she has already submitted this proposal to the federal Minister of Finance and the finance ministers of the other provinces. She has also requested that the matter be discussed at the finance ministers' conference to be held in Newfoundland next April 25 and 26. "The proposal formulated by Québec is designed to ensure that the federal government, in rectifying its mistake, does not destabilize the finances of the provinces and the funding of programs such as health and education that are a priority for the public. The federal government has made a major error and it must bear the consequences," the Minister declared.

Ms. Marois also explained that the recent adjustments to federal transfers are not an isolated phenomenon. In recent years, there has been significant and growing variation in federal transfers, primarily equalization payments. "Such instability considerably complicates the budgetary planning needed for sound management of the health and education networks and is truly problematic," Ms. Marois added.

A fiscal imbalance that needs to be corrected

The Séguin Commission has just published a rigorous analysis confirming that a major fiscal imbalance exists, to the detriment of the provinces. "The work of the Séguin Commission and the forecasts made by the Conference Board of Canada at the Commission's request clearly show that we are heading toward a situation where the federal government will post large surpluses while the governments that deliver services will be subjected to severe spending pressures, particularly in the health and social services sector," Ms. Marois said. The Minister is committed to doing everything possible to ensure that the federal government changes this unfair situation.

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Source: Nicole Bastien
Press Officer
Office of the Deputy Prime Minister and
Minister of State for the Economy and Finance
Tel. (418) 643-5270 or (514) 873-5363
www.finances.gouv.qc.ca

Information: Jacques Duval
Direction des communications
Ministère des Finances
Tel. (418) 691-2252